Friday, 20 April 2018

Financial Orbit in the financial media this week

My three articles on ShareProphets this week were...

An article about Saga on the Share Prophets website which you can access here: 

"Saga: buy'em even if you are a young'un"

I also wrote on the same website another article this time on the property stock Hammerson which you can access here:

"Hammerson - commonsense on one bid, madness on another"

And then I wrote a piece on the consumer staple Unilever:

"Unilever - buy a Magnum, not the shares"


I also appeared on the VOX Markets podcast talking about Debenhams, Sky, Unilever and Ultra Electronic.  You can access this here.  

Vox Markets

And finally, you can read my views on Iberian equities as discussed here on behalf of one of my trade clients. 

Sunday, 15 April 2018

Stories we should be thinking about

Stories we should be thinking about

So a bounceback in markets in recent weeks...and so everyone starts to think
about positive returns.  It is true that if you want to make returns you have to be
patient...and be prepared to be invested even at times of strife (especially at times
of strife)
(h/t @callum_thomas)

The trouble is life is not currently easy - especially for the world’s largest/most
influencial investment bank - as this wonderful cartoon via @OccupyWisdom

And how is the US administration pushing back?  Fascinating to see the
update from the US Treasury on currency manipulation (no country
was deemed a currency manipulator but added India to the list of countries
to watch include China, Japan, Korea, Switzerland & EZ by way of naming
Germany) which is wonderfully summarised below by @ING_Economics:

So why no manipulator?  Well the US has got to fund that big deficit...

But actually the biggest recent outflows have been in equities...

To read the rest of Stories we should be thinking about click HERE.

Sunday, 8 April 2018

Stories we should be thinking about

Stories we should be thinking about

Another volatile last week...

Of course lots of trade war chat at the moment, so interesting to read this:

‘China is ready to strike back at the US with a comprehensive set of
countermeasures that are designed to exert maximum pain on the US
economy, if the Trump administration follows through with what has widely
been described in China as extortionist efforts to gain leverage over China
in trade negotiations, Chinese experts warned on Saturday’

Sounds worrying...or is it just part of the negotiation process?  After all - as
noted below - ‘China doesn’t import enough US goods to match latest Trump
proposal’.  Part of the negotiations in my view...and of course China owns
all those Treasury bonds BUT also to aid their own development they need global
growth to continue to push on

But what is clear is that the volatility backdrop is changing (link here)... noted again here:

Hmm I think 2008, 2002 and 2009 were somewhat volatile years...

You can read the rest of Stories we should be thinking about HERE.